Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Alvin Kamara

NFL · Player Props

Alvin Kamara

RB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 4th-most run-heavy offense in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 44.3% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 27.79 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Alvin Kamara to accumulate 14.0 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile among RBs.
Alvin Kamara has been given 58.3% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking in the 90th percentile among running backs.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year at run-game blocking.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Saints will be forced to utilize backup QB Andy Dalton in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Alvin Kamara has been among the weakest running backs in the NFL at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a lowly 2.66 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 17th percentile.
Opposing teams have run for the 8th-least yards in football (just 106 per game) versus the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year.
The New Orleans Saints have been faced with a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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