Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Alvin Kamara

NFL · Player Props

Alvin Kamara

RB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 65.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 42.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.44 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Alvin Kamara to total 15.0 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among running backs.
Alvin Kamara has been given 58.0% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among running backs.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year at opening holes for runners.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Saints will be rolling with backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Saints are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Alvin Kamara has been among the worst RBs in football at grinding out extra running yardage, averaging just 2.51 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 15th percentile.
Opposing offenses have run for the 4th-least yards in football (just 94 per game) vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.

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