Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Alvin Kamara

NFL · Player Props

Alvin Kamara

RB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (+102/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Saints are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-most run-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 41.9% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects Alvin Kamara to accumulate 15.0 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among running backs.
Alvin Kamara has been given 56.1% of his team's carries this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have run the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.0 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Alvin Kamara has rushed for many fewer yards per game (55.0) this year than he did last year (67.0).
Alvin Kamara's ground efficiency (3.87 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (18th percentile among running backs).

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