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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (+102/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Saints are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-most run-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 41.9% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects Alvin Kamara to accumulate 15.0 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among running backs.
  • Alvin Kamara has been given 56.1% of his team's carries this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New Orleans Saints have run the 8th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.0 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Alvin Kamara has rushed for many fewer yards per game (55.0) this year than he did last year (67.0).
  • Alvin Kamara's ground efficiency (3.87 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (18th percentile among running backs).

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