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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 61.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 58.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-most run-oriented team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 41.5% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Alvin Kamara to total 15.7 carries in this contest, on average, ranking in the 84th percentile among RBs.
  • Alvin Kamara has garnered 57.0% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Saints are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • The New Orleans Saints have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.5 plays per game.
  • Alvin Kamara has rushed for a lot fewer yards per game (53.0) this year than he did last year (67.0).
  • Alvin Kamara's ground effectiveness (3.75 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (8th percentile among running backs).
  • Alvin Kamara has been among the worst RBs in the NFL at generating extra ground yardage, averaging a mere 2.52 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 8th percentile.

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