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Alvin Kamara
NFL · Player Props
Alvin Kamara
RB · New Orleans Saints
Rushing Yards
Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints · Week 16, 2022 Updated Dec 25, 2022 12:16 AM UTC
NFL Props Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 68.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 70.5 @ -130.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 8th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 47.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 26-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Alvin Kamara to total 17.1 carries in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among running backs.
  • Alvin Kamara has been given 57.6% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among running backs.
  • The Cleveland Browns defense has produced the 3rd-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, giving up 5.39 yards-per-carry.
Favors Under
  • The Saints are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 11th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New Orleans Saints have run the 10th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 54.9 plays per game.
  • Alvin Kamara has rushed for quite a few less yards per game (52.0) this season than he did last season (67.0).
  • Alvin Kamara's running efficiency (3.79 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (12th percentile among RBs).
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