Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Alvin Kamara

NFL · Player Props

Alvin Kamara

RB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+109/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-most run-centric team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 41.6% run rate.
Alvin Kamara has received 59.5% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The Saints are a big 8.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 9th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 56.5 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Alvin Kamara has rushed for many fewer yards per game (55.0) this season than he did last season (67.0).

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