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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

San Francisco 49ers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+109/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -139.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 9th-most run-centric team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 41.6% run rate.
  • Alvin Kamara has received 59.5% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Saints are a big 8.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 9th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 56.5 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Alvin Kamara has rushed for many fewer yards per game (55.0) this season than he did last season (67.0).

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