My Account Log Out

reorder

Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 2

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Alvin Kamara Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+207/-313).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -303 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -313.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Alvin Kamara has rushed for 0.29 touchdowns per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the highest figures in football among RBs (75th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Saints are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

The Saints have been the 7th-least run-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 25.0% red zone run rate.

The New Orleans Saints have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 60.6 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Alvin Kamara to be a much smaller part of his offense's rushing attack near the goal line this week (59.5% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (70.2% in games he has played).

The New Orleans Saints O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in run blocking.

More Alvin Kamara Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™