Alvin Kamara Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Alvin Kamara

NFL · Player Props

Alvin Kamara

RB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing TD

San Francisco 49ers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Alvin Kamara Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+273/-461).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +278 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +273.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Alvin Kamara has received 58.3% of his offense's red zone rush attempts this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among RBs.

Favors Under

The Saints are a big 8.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.
The Saints have been the 7th-least run-heavy offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 35.6% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 9th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-least plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 56.5 plays per game.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the best group of LBs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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