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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

New Orleans Saints vs Denver Broncos

Alvin Kamara Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to run the most offensive plays on the slate this week with 69.2 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.3 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

In this week's game, Alvin Kamara is predicted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs with 7.6 targets.

Alvin Kamara's 34.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 28.9.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Saints are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Saints to pass on 53.3% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

The New Orleans Saints have run the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.0 plays per game.

As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the New Orleans Saints ranks as the worst in the league this year.

Alvin Kamara's receiving talent has worsened this season, compiling a mere 4.6 adjusted catches vs 5.7 last season.

More Alvin Kamara Player Props

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