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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

Alvin Kamara Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-128/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Saints to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints have run the 5th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 60.8 plays per game.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (39.5 per game) this year.

The predictive model expects Alvin Kamara to accrue 6.7 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Alvin Kamara has been a big part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 20.3% this year, which places him in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regards to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Saints ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties rank as the 6th-best collection of safeties in football this year in defending receivers.

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