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Alvin Kamara
NFL · Player Props
Alvin Kamara
RB · New Orleans Saints
Receptions
Philadelphia Eagles vs New Orleans Saints · Week 17, 2022 Updated Jan 1, 2023 6:06 PM UTC
NFL Props Alvin Kamara Receptions

Alvin Kamara Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+150/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +150.

Favors Over
  • The Saints are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Alvin Kamara to garner 6.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
  • Alvin Kamara's 30.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 99th percentile for RBs.
  • Alvin Kamara has been among the top RBs in the pass game this year, averaging an impressive 4.2 receptions per game while checking in at the 97th percentile.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 58.5% pass rate.
  • The New Orleans Saints have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.5 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 9th-least in the league.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.40 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.
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