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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New Orleans Saints vs Philadelphia Eagles

Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Saints being a -3-point underdog in this game.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

Opposing teams have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game against the Eagles defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.

In this week's game, Alvin Kamara is projected by the projections to find himself in the 99th percentile among RBs with 6.6 targets.

With an elite 19.4% Target Rate (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Alvin Kamara rates among the pass-catching RBs with the most usage in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 8th-least pass-focused team in football (57.3% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the New Orleans Saints.

At the moment, the 4th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the New Orleans Saints.

In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the New Orleans Saints grades out as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season.

Alvin Kamara's pass-game effectiveness has diminished this season, compiling a mere 0.00 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 5.52 rate last season.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has shown good efficiency against RBs since the start of last season, surrendering 4.99 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-fewest in the league.

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