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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Saints to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints have run the 5th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 60.8 plays per game.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (39.5 per game) this year.

The predictive model expects Alvin Kamara to accrue 6.7 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Alvin Kamara has been a big part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 20.3% this year, which places him in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regards to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Saints ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

Alvin Kamara's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this season, notching a mere 5.55 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 6.57 mark last season.

Alvin Kamara's talent in grinding out extra yardage have declined this season, notching a measly 7.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 9.35 figure last season.

This year, the imposing Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has yielded a measly 27.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing running backs: the 6th-best in the NFL.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties rank as the 6th-best collection of safeties in football this year in defending receivers.

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