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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants

Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a staggering 62.1 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

In this game, Alvin Kamara is projected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs with 8.4 targets.

Alvin Kamara has been a key part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 21.0% this year, which ranks in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates a running game script for the Saints, who are favored by 6.5 points.

The New Orleans Saints offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Alvin Kamara's pass-game effectiveness has declined this year, totaling a measly 5.54 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 6.57 figure last year.

Alvin Kamara's ability to generate extra yardage has worsened this season, averaging a mere 7.03 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 9.35 mark last season.

The New York Giants defense has allowed the 4th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 25.0) to running backs this year.

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