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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals

Alvin Kamara Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-101/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -101.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New Orleans Saints will be rolling with backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Saints are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.44 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 5th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 7th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 57.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Alvin Kamara has been among the most unreliable receivers in football among RBs, catching a mere 69.5% of balls thrown his way this year, grading out in the 15th percentile.

Alvin Kamara's pass-game efficiency has worsened this season, totaling a measly 5.29 yards-per-target vs a 7.11 figure last season.

The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has given up the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.4%) to running backs this year (63.4%).

The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has shown good efficiency versus RBs this year, giving up 4.83 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in the league.

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