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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Carries
Player Prop Week 3

New Orleans Saints vs Philadelphia Eagles

Alvin Kamara Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to be the 8th-most run-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 42.7% run rate.

The leading projections forecast Alvin Kamara to earn 16.6 rush attempts in this game, on balance, placing him in the 91st percentile among RBs.

Alvin Kamara has received 60.4% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among RBs.

The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends profile as the 2nd-worst group of DEs in football since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Saints being a -3-point underdog in this game.

At the moment, the 4th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the New Orleans Saints.

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.

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