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Alvin Kamara Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+100/-130).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -130.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The model projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 3rd-most run-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 44.5% run rate.Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.5 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.The predictive model expects Alvin Kamara to accumulate 15.5 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Washington's group of DTs has been awful this year, grading out as the 6th-worst in the league. in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The New Orleans Saints will be rolling out backup quarterback Jake Haener in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Saints being a huge -7.5-point underdog this week.This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.While Alvin Kamara has been responsible for 65.5% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in New Orleans's run game in this contest at 52.3%.
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