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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Carries
Player Prop Week 14

New York Giants vs New Orleans Saints

Alvin Kamara Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is suggested by the Saints being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to be the 3rd-most run-focused team among all teams this week with a 48.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to run the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.6 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

The model projects Alvin Kamara to accrue 24.3 carries in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Giants defensive tackles grade out as the best unit in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

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