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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Carries
Player Prop Week 13

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams

Alvin Kamara Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Saints to be the 5th-most run-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 43.3% run rate.

The model projects the New Orleans Saints to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 68.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

In this week's game, Alvin Kamara is projected by the projections to finish in the 91st percentile among RBs with 18.6 carries.

After taking on 53.6% of his offense's carries last season, Alvin Kamara has had a larger role in the ground game this season, currently comprising 65.9%.

The Rams linebackers grade out as the worst LB corps in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

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