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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Carries
Player Prop Week 11

New Orleans Saints vs Cleveland Browns

Alvin Kamara Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 5th-most run-centric offense in the NFL (43.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New Orleans Saints.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 136.9 plays on offense run: the highest number among all games this week.

The leading projections forecast Alvin Kamara to notch 20.0 rush attempts in this game, on balance, placing him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

Alvin Kamara has been a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack this season (65.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (53.6%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

The Browns linebackers project as the best collection of LBs in football this year with their run defense.

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