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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Indianapolis Colts vs New Orleans Saints

Alvin Kamara Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the New Orleans Saints are expected by the projections to run 67.9 plays on offense in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.

The New Orleans Saints have run the most plays in the league this year, totaling a massive 66.4 plays per game.

In this contest, Alvin Kamara is projected by the model to finish in the 89th percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.5 carries.

Alvin Kamara has received 64.9% of his offense's rushing play calls this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Saints to be the 9th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 40.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Indianapolis's unit has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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