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Alvin Kamara

Alvin Kamara Carries
Player Prop Week 7

New Orleans Saints vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Alvin Kamara Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.1 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Saints this year (a colossal 63.7 per game on average).
  • The leading projections forecast Alvin Kamara to notch 14.8 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Jacksonville's collection of DTs has been lousy this year, profiling as the worst in the league. in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Saints to run on 40.2% of their downs: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The predictive model expects Alvin Kamara to be a less important option in his offense's run game this week (55.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (69.8% in games he has played).

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