Alvin Kamara Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Alvin Kamara

NFL · Player Props

Alvin Kamara

RB · New Orleans Saints

Carries

New England Patriots vs New Orleans Saints · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Alvin Kamara Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The leading projections forecast Alvin Kamara to notch 15.7 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among RBs.
Out of all RBs, Alvin Kamara ranks in the 93rd percentile for rush attempts since the start of last season, making up 55.9% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.

Favors Under

The Saints have been the 8th-least run-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 36.6% run rate.
As it relates to the safeties' role in run defense, New England's collection of safeties has been exceptional this year, profiling as the best in football.

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