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Alvin Kamara Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-122/-108).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -122.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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This week's line indicates a running game script for the Saints, who are favored by 6.5 points.The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a staggering 62.1 per game on average).The projections expect Alvin Kamara to total 13.5 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs.Alvin Kamara has received 53.8% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, New York's group of DTs has been exceptional this year, grading out as the best in the league.
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