Alvin Kamara Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Alvin Kamara

NFL · Player Props

Alvin Kamara

RB · New Orleans Saints

Carries

Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Alvin Kamara Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Saints to call the 6th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 2nd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 64.7 per game on average).
Among all RBs, Alvin Kamara grades out in the 89th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 56.1% of the workload in his team's run game.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints as the 8th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 40.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Minnesota's DT corps has been excellent this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

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