Alvin Kamara Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 7

My Account Log Out

reorder

Alvin Kamara

NFL · Player Props

Alvin Kamara

RB · New Orleans Saints

Carries

Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 21, 2022 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Alvin Kamara Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Alvin Kamara to earn 16.1 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
Alvin Kamara has received 57.4% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking in the 89th percentile among RBs.
The New Orleans Saints O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year at blocking for the run game.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Saints will be forced to start backup QB Andy Dalton in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Arizona Cardinals safeties grade out as the 2nd-best safety corps in football this year with their run defense.
The New Orleans Saints have faced a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on just 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in football). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

More Alvin Kamara Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow