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Allen Robinson

Allen Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Allen Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
  • Allen Robinson's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 64.8% to 68.9%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 10th-most sluggish paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Steelers.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to pass too much against the Indianapolis Colts, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (just 33.2 per game) this year.
  • Allen Robinson's 73.2% Route% this season represents an impressive regression in his passing offense workload over last season's 92.7% mark.
  • The Steelers offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Allen Robinson's receiving performance has diminished this year, accumulating just 2.2 adjusted receptions compared to 3.3 last year.

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