Allen Robinson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Allen Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Allen Robinson

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receptions

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Allen Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
Allen Robinson's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 64.8% to 68.9%.

Favors Under

Right now, the 10th-most sluggish paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Steelers.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to pass too much against the Indianapolis Colts, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (just 33.2 per game) this year.
Allen Robinson's 73.2% Route% this season represents an impressive regression in his passing offense workload over last season's 92.7% mark.
The Steelers offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
Allen Robinson's receiving performance has diminished this year, accumulating just 2.2 adjusted receptions compared to 3.3 last year.

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