Allen Robinson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Allen Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Allen Robinson

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Allen Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.5 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has conceded the 10th-highest Completion% in the NFL (68.7%) to WRs since the start of last season (68.7%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Allen Robinson to be a less important option in his offense's air attack this week (10.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (15.8% in games he has played).
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 3rd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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