Allen Robinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Allen Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Allen Robinson

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Allen Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to have 133.3 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the most passes in the league (43.7 per game) this year.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has surrendered the 4th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (181.0) versus WRs this year.

Favors Under

The Steelers have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.5 plays per game.
After accumulating 54.0 air yards per game last year, Allen Robinson has produced significantly fewer this year, currently sitting at 29.0 per game.
Allen Robinson's 30.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 40.5.
The Pittsburgh offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Allen Robinson has compiled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (25.0) this season than he did last season (38.0).

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