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Allen Robinson

Allen Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Allen Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to have 133.3 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the most passes in the league (43.7 per game) this year.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has surrendered the 4th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (181.0) versus WRs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.5 plays per game.
  • After accumulating 54.0 air yards per game last year, Allen Robinson has produced significantly fewer this year, currently sitting at 29.0 per game.
  • Allen Robinson's 30.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 40.5.
  • The Pittsburgh offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Allen Robinson has compiled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (25.0) this season than he did last season (38.0).

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