Allen Robinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Allen Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Allen Robinson

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 9:11 PM EST

Analysis

Allen Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
Allen Robinson's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 64.8% to 68.9%.

Favors Under

Right now, the 10th-most sluggish paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Steelers.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to pass too much against the Indianapolis Colts, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (just 33.2 per game) this year.
Allen Robinson's 73.2% Route% this season represents an impressive regression in his passing offense workload over last season's 92.7% mark.
After accruing 54.0 air yards per game last season, Allen Robinson has significantly declined this season, now pacing 24.0 per game.
The Steelers offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.

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