Allen Robinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Allen Robinson

WR · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Allen Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.5 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
Allen Robinson has garnered a colossal 24.0% of his team's air yards since the start of last season: 78th percentile among wide receivers.
The San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded the 5th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (158.0) to wideouts since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Allen Robinson to be a less important option in his offense's air attack this week (10.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (15.8% in games he has played).
Allen Robinson has been among the least effective receivers in football, averaging a measly 7.43 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 23rd percentile among wide receivers
Allen Robinson has been among the weakest WRs in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.61 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 22nd percentile.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.40 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 4th-least in football.