Allen Robinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Allen Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Allen Robinson

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 8:31 PM EST

Analysis

Allen Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 41.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 37.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rams are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 66.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Allen Robinson has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (93.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (82.2%).
Allen Robinson's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Completion% increasing from 59.8% to 64.4%.

Favors Under

Allen Robinson has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (53.0 per game) than he did last season (71.0 per game).
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Allen Robinson has been among the least efficient receivers in the league, averaging a lowly 7.25 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 23rd percentile among WRs
Allen Robinson has been among the worst wide receivers in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 3.09 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 23rd percentile.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.1%) to WRs this year (62.1%).

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