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Allen Robinson

Allen Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Allen Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-132/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 5th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Allen Robinson to total 8.2 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.
  • THE BLITZ projects Allen Robinson to be much more involved in his offense's passing attack this week (22.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (15.5% in games he has played).
  • Allen Robinson's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% increasing from 59.8% to 64.1%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 7th-least in the NFL.
  • Allen Robinson has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (52.0 per game) than he did last year (71.0 per game).
  • The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.
  • Allen Robinson has been among the least efficient receivers in the NFL, averaging a measly 7.08 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 19th percentile among WRs

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