Allen Robinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Allen Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Allen Robinson

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Allen Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-132/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 5th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Allen Robinson to total 8.2 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Allen Robinson to be much more involved in his offense's passing attack this week (22.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (15.5% in games he has played).
Allen Robinson's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% increasing from 59.8% to 64.1%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.8 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 7th-least in the NFL.
Allen Robinson has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (52.0 per game) than he did last year (71.0 per game).
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.
Allen Robinson has been among the least efficient receivers in the NFL, averaging a measly 7.08 yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 19th percentile among WRs

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