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Allen Robinson

Allen Robinson Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Rams

Allen Robinson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+400/-853).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -843 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -853.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Rams are a giant 15.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.

Allen Robinson has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 28.9% this year, which places him in the 95th percentile among WRs.

Allen Robinson's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 59.8% to 65.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Allen Robinson has notched quite a few less air yards this season (54.0 per game) than he did last season (71.0 per game).

Allen Robinson's 40.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 50.1.

The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.

The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers rank as the 6th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

The Kansas City Chiefs defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the fastest in the league since the start of last season.

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