Allen Robinson Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Allen Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Allen Robinson

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving TD

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Allen Robinson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+305/-547).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -352 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -547.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
Allen Robinson's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Completion% increasing from 59.8% to 64.6%.
The Arizona Cardinals cornerbacks profile as the 5th-worst group of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Los Angeles Rams O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.59 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 9th-least total plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Allen Robinson to be a much smaller part of his offense's passing game near the goal line this week (19.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (30.8% in games he has played).
Allen Robinson has compiled far fewer air yards this season (51.0 per game) than he did last season (71.0 per game).
Allen Robinson's 39.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 50.1.

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