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Allen Robinson

Allen Robinson Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Allen Robinson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+305/-547).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -352 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -547.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
  • Allen Robinson's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Completion% increasing from 59.8% to 64.6%.
  • The Arizona Cardinals cornerbacks profile as the 5th-worst group of CBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line has allowed their quarterback 2.59 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 9th-least total plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Allen Robinson to be a much smaller part of his offense's passing game near the goal line this week (19.9% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (30.8% in games he has played).
  • Allen Robinson has compiled far fewer air yards this season (51.0 per game) than he did last season (71.0 per game).
  • Allen Robinson's 39.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 50.1.

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