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Allen Lazard

Allen Lazard Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Washington Commanders

Allen Lazard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-111/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Jets.

At a mere 27.18 seconds per play, the New York Jets offense profiles as the 10th-fastest paced in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may go down.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Washington's group of LBs has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Jets being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

Allen Lazard's 12.6% Target% this year represents a material drop-off in his pass game utilization over last year's 21.3% rate.

The Jets O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

Allen Lazard's 1.9 adjusted catches per game this year illustrates a remarkable drop-off in his receiving talent over last year's 4.2 figure.

Allen Lazard's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 63.6% to 48.6%.

More Allen Lazard Player Props

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