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Allen Lazard
NFL · Player Props
Allen Lazard
WR · New York Jets
Receptions
New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins · Week 12, 2023 Updated Nov 24, 2023 6:51 PM UTC
NFL Props Allen Lazard Receptions

Allen Lazard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +110.

Favors Over
  • The Jets may pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) because they be starting backup QB Tim Boyle.
  • An extreme passing game script is implied by the Jets being a huge -9.5-point underdog this week.
  • The projections expect the New York Jets to be the 7th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.7% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • This year, the poor Dolphins pass defense has yielded a massive 71.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 4th-highest rate in the NFL.
Favors Under
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Jets are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 64.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Jets have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 55.4 plays per game.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being called for in this game) generally prompt worse passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and higher rush volume.
  • The Jets O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Miami's safety corps has been tremendous this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.
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