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Allen Lazard
NFL · Player Props
Allen Lazard
WR · Green Bay Packers
Receptions
Green Bay Packers vs New York Jets · Week 6, 2022 Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC
NFL Props Allen Lazard Receptions

Allen Lazard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -180.

Favors Over
  • Allen Lazard has been less involved as a potential target this season (93.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (77.3%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Allen Lazard to notch 6.7 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Allen Lazard's receiving talent has been refined this year, averaging 4.2 yards per game vs a mere 2.8 last year.
  • The New York Jets pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Completion% in the NFL (68.8%) vs. WRs this year (68.8%).
  • The New York Jets have stacked the box against opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
Favors Under
  • The Packers are an enormous 7.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 7th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 57.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 4th-least in the NFL.
  • The New York Jets cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
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