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Allen Lazard

Allen Lazard Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Miami Dolphins vs Green Bay Packers

Allen Lazard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-180/+150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Packers are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

Allen Lazard has been used less as a potential target this season (95.9% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (78.2%).

The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.

Allen Lazard's play as a receiver has gotten a boost this year, compiling 4.0 yards per game compared to a measly 2.8 last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Allen Lazard's receiving reliability have tailed off this season, with his Completion% falling off from 70.5% to 63.1%.

The Green Bay Packers O-line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.44 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

The Miami Dolphins defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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