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Allen Lazard

Allen Lazard Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Allen Lazard Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Allen Lazard has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (95.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (78.2%).
  • The Green Bay Packers O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Allen Lazard's receiving performance has been refined this season, averaging 4.2 yards per game vs a mere 2.8 last season.
  • The Chicago Bears pass defense has surrendered the 4th-highest Completion% in the NFL (70.9%) versus wide receivers this year (70.9%).
  • The Chicago Bears defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-most sluggish in football since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 59.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 27.8 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.

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