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Allen Lazard

Allen Lazard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets

Allen Lazard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets rank as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 68.3% pass rate.

The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

After averaging 43.0 air yards per game last year, Allen Lazard has made big progress this year, currently sitting at 70.0 per game.

Allen Lazard's 46.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 29.7.

The New York Jets O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are expected by the predictive model to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.

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