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Allen Lazard

Allen Lazard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Rams

Allen Lazard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the New York Jets as the 5th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see 133.4 total plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.

After accumulating 43.0 air yards per game last year, Allen Lazard has posted big gains this year, now sitting at 64.0 per game.

Allen Lazard's 40.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 29.7.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 7th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Jets this year (a mere 55.6 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Rams, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 32.5 per game) this year.

This year, the strong Rams defense has surrendered a measly 139.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wide receivers: the 10th-best in the NFL.

The Rams pass defense has surrendered the lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (57.9%) vs. wide receivers this year (57.9%).

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