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Allen Lazard

Allen Lazard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New York Jets

Allen Lazard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -133.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the New York Jets to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 63.6% pass rate.

Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

After accumulating 43.0 air yards per game last year, Allen Lazard has shown good development this year, now sitting at 60.0 per game.

In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the New York Jets profiles as the 5th-best in the league this year.

Allen Lazard's 56.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year reflects a noteworthy improvement in his pass-catching talent over last year's 25.0 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Jets are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical game plan.

The 10th-fewest plays in football have been called by the New York Jets this year (a lowly 56.1 per game on average).

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

While Allen Lazard has garnered 15.5% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller piece of New York's pass game in this game at 10.5%.

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