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Allen Lazard

Allen Lazard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

Allen Lazard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jets to pass on 63.7% of their chances: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

As it relates to pass protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the New York Jets grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.

This year, the poor Miami Dolphins pass defense has yielded a whopping 68.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 9th-largest rate in the league.

When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Miami's safety corps has been lousy this year, grading out as the 8th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 127.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The New York Jets have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 55.7 plays per game.

This year, the formidable Dolphins defense has yielded a meager 125.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the 2nd-best in the league.

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