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Allen Lazard

Allen Lazard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers

Allen Lazard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-148/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ +112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Jets will be forced to start backup quarterback Zach Wilson in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 130.6 total plays run: the 4th-most among all games this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

This year, the weak Chargers defense has given up a staggering 202.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wide receivers: the most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 58.8% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

The Jets have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.9 plays per game.

Allen Lazard has totaled significantly fewer air yards this season (54.0 per game) than he did last season (84.0 per game).

With a RATE1-RATE2 point reduction in WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) from last season to this one, Allen Lazard has been relied on much less in his offense's passing game.

The New York O-line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all air attack statistics across the board.

More Allen Lazard Player Props

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