Allen Lazard Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Allen Lazard

NFL · Player Props

Allen Lazard

WR · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs New York Jets · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Allen Lazard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets may throw the ball less in this game (and call more carries) because they be forced to utilize backup QB Zach Wilson.
With an exceptional 9.4 adjusted yards per target (76th percentile) this year, Allen Lazard rates as one of the best wide receivers in the game in football.
This year, the shaky New York Giants defense has yielded the most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing wide receivers: a monstrous 6.10 YAC.
The Giants cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Jets are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New York Jets to pass on 56.0% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Jets are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run only 63.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Jets this year (a mere 52.0 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the New York Giants, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 32.9 per game) this year.

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