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Allen Lazard

Allen Lazard Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Houston Texans

Allen Lazard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-114).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Jets may rely on the pass game less in this contest (and call more carries) because they be starting backup QB Zach Wilson.

The New York Jets have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 1.6% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

A passing game script is suggested by the Jets being a -5.5-point underdog this week.

This year, the poor Texans defense has allowed the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a colossal 9.19 yards.

This year, the weak Houston Texans defense has been gouged for the 10th-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing WRs: a whopping 4.38 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Jets to run the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.0 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 6th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Jets this year (a lowly 55.5 per game on average).

Allen Lazard has accrued significantly fewer air yards this year (49.0 per game) than he did last year (84.0 per game).

Allen Lazard's 35.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 54.3.

When talking about pass protection (and the impact it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Jets ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.

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