Allen Lazard Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Allen Lazard

NFL · Player Props

Allen Lazard

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Allen Lazard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
Allen Lazard has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (91.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (78.2%).
Allen Lazard has compiled far more air yards this year (85.0 per game) than he did last year (41.0 per game).
The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Allen Lazard has put up quite a few more receiving yards per game (57.0) this year than he did last year (38.0).

Favors Under

The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to run the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Allen Lazard's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 70.5% to 63.6%.
The Green Bay Packers O-line has afforded their QB a mere 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on a measly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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