Allen Lazard Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Allen Lazard

NFL · Player Props

Allen Lazard

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 20, 2022 12:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Allen Lazard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (+100/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Allen Lazard has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (95.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (78.2%).
THE BLITZ projects Allen Lazard to earn 6.3 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 75th percentile among wide receivers.
Allen Lazard has posted significantly more air yards this season (94.0 per game) than he did last season (41.0 per game).
The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Allen Lazard's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 70.5% to 63.5%.
The Green Bay Packers O-line has allowed their QB just 2.44 seconds before the pass (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

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