Allen Lazard Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Allen Lazard

NFL · Player Props

Allen Lazard

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Allen Lazard Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 48.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 46.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Allen Lazard to notch 7.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile among WRs.
Allen Lazard has accumulated quite a few more air yards this year (95.0 per game) than he did last year (44.0 per game).
Allen Lazard's 57.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 28.8.
The Green Bay Packers O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 30.07 seconds per play.
The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Allen Lazard's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 69.9% to 61.4%.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has allowed the 4th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 122.0) versus wideouts this year.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the lowest Completion% in football (57.8%) to wide receivers this year (57.8%).

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